Was China Backing The Brotherhood?

Going back to 20 October 2023, Chinese police moved in on the scam syndicates in northern Myanmar and arrested 100,000 people. A week later, the Brotherhood Alliance, an alliance of 3 insurgent armies, namely the Kokang (MNDA), Arakan and Ta’ang armies attacked government positions. While they appeared to be fighting for democracy, commander of the alliance Peng De Ren does have an axe to grind against the Bai family occupying Kokang territory. Bai Suo Ren was Peng De Ren’s late father, Peng Jia Sheng’s deputy who betrayed him in 2009.

With the mass arrests which occurred just before Operation 1027, many people believed that China was financing the Brotherhood Alliance to teach the scam syndicates a lesson. But no sooner had fighting started when China called for peace talks. The insurgent forces had also disrupted the cross-border economy with China. Things just don’t add up. The Brotherhood’s primary objective was clearly to purge junta control over the country’s peripheries and not to attack the scam syndicates.

Then, in an interview with NHK, Myanmar’s National Unity Government’s exiled Minister of Foreign Affairs Zin Mar Aung stated in no uncertain terms that the NUG had been working with insurgents for a year to prepare the attacks on the Myanmar government. Clearly claiming responsibility, she also announced that this operation was just the beginning. 1027 was not carried out at China’s behest nor with Chinese support as some among the cheering masses thought.

I was right all along. We now know for sure that it’s the NUG that was responsible for organising 1027 and not China. However, Peng De Ren, the commander on the ground must have struck a deal with Chinese authorities to “arrest” (i.e. evacuate) their scam operators on 1020 before the Brotherhood attacked.